A recent political analysis of the American political landscape reveals that Morocco could significantly benefit from a potential victory of former President Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election, facing his competitor Kamala Harris.
Polls indicate Trump’s lead in several swing states, particularly in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, with a clear tendency in his favor in North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia.
This Moroccan preference for Trump stems from several key reasons:
First: His role in the Abraham Accords and recognition of Morocco’s sovereignty over the Sahara, which could pave the way for a final resolution of the conflict through the autonomy plan.
Second: The United States’ position as the penholder of the Sahara issue in the Security Council, supported by the pro-Moroccan stance of France and Spain.
Third: Trump’s hardline policy toward anti-Western countries that support the Polisario Front, such as Algeria, Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba.
In contrast, Democratic policy under Biden has been characterized by hesitation in supporting the Moroccan cause, preferring a policy of appeasement with Algeria and Iran, while focusing on the Asia-Pacific region to counter Chinese influence.
The only potential challenge in the event of Trump’s victory might be his protectionist trade policies, which could affect Chinese investments in Morocco targeted at the American market.
Historically, Morocco has benefited from Republican support since the Reagan era, while Democrats have taken less positive positions, particularly during the Carter and Obama administrations.