فاس نيوز ميديا جريدة الكترونية جهوية تعنى بشؤون و أخبار جهة فاس مكناس – متجددة على مدار الساعة
Amid the rising wave of inflation and increasing public dissatisfaction with the current government’s performance, intriguing predictions are emerging regarding the upcoming 2026 Moroccan legislative elections, which could shake up the political landscape and redraw the political map of the kingdom.
Field sources and political analysts expect that the election scene will witness a significant decline for the National Rally of Independents (RNI), which led the 2021 elections with 102 seats, due to what the public perceives as “mismanagement of social and economic issues.” In contrast, historically-rooted parties such as the Istiqlal Party and the Popular Movement are making a strong return, competing for the top position in the political scene.
According to field analysis and party movements, it is expected that the Istiqlal Party will win between 85 and 95 seats, taking the lead without surpassing the 100-seat threshold. Meanwhile, the Popular Movement is experiencing significant growth, potentially securing between 65 and 80 seats, marking its return to political influence after years of relative decline.
On the other hand, the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) is expected to take third place, with projections ranging between 50 and 70 seats, surpassing its current coalition partner, the National Rally of Independents, whose anticipated decline may result in only 40 to 60 seats.
The Socialist Union of Popular Forces is expected to maintain a middle position, with a range of 20 to 35 seats, potentially surprising voters if it succeeds in attracting the disillusioned voices of supporters of the larger parties. The Justice and Development Party is expected to make a modest return, with the possibility of securing 20 to 30 seats.
The Progressive Socialist Party’s projections stand at around 10 to 20 seats, while other smaller parties will compete for a minimum parliamentary representation, ranging between 5 and 15 seats.
What stands out in these predictions is that no party is expected to exceed the 100-seat mark, reinforcing the likelihood of a broad coalition government, opening the door for unprecedented alliances, and potentially leading to a reshaping of the political map.
Will we witness the return of the “esteemed national school” to lead the government? Or will the leading parties of today succeed in regaining the Moroccan electorate’s trust? The answer lies in the ballot boxes in just a few months.
Follow our daily analyses on Fes News to keep up with the election race and the behind-the-scenes political arrangements to come.
Source: Fes News Media
