EU Expects Morocco to Remain Main Tomato Supplier Until 2035

A recent report by the European Commission on the EU’s agricultural outlook reveals that Morocco is set to maintain its position as the primary supplier of fresh tomatoes to EU countries until 2035. The report projects an increase in EU tomato imports by 0.6% annually, reaching 822,000 tons by 2035.

This expected rise in imports comes amid a forecasted annual decrease in EU production by 0.3% during this period, dropping to 6.33 million tons in 2035. The report attributes this decline to an expected reduction in winter production and a shift towards growing smaller tomato varieties.

Regarding consumption, the report anticipates that fresh tomato consumption in EU countries will stabilize at 6.79 million tons in 2035, with an average consumption of 15.2 kilograms per capita. This stability is due to the continued increasing demand for smaller varieties, especially cherry tomatoes, which are driving demand upwards.

As for tomato production intended for processing, it is expected to increase by 1% to reach about 11.6 million tons. The consumption of processed tomatoes in the EU is projected to rise by 1.2% annually, exceeding 23 kilograms per capita by 2035. This increase is attributed to the growing demand for processed foods, where products such as tomato paste and sauces represent a significant market share.

On the other hand, the report predicts a decrease in EU exports of fresh tomatoes by 0.2%, reaching 362,000 tons in 2035.

These projections highlight the importance of Morocco’s role in the European tomato market and confirm the EU’s continued reliance on Moroccan imports to meet growing domestic demand, especially in light of the challenges facing local production in EU countries.

About محمد الفاسي